Techno-Economic Boundary Analysis of Small Modular Reactor Cogeneration for Hyperscale Data Center IT and Cooling Loads

Abstract

Hyperscale data centers are adding firm, high-utilization demand faster than grids can serve it, renewing interest in colocating them with small modular reactors. Such a plant could earn revenue in two ways, selling low-carbon power and diverting steam to absorption chillers that serve a cooling load accounting for 20-40% of facility electricity use, but neither revenue stream has been priced across the conditions that must coincide. Here we co-optimize reactor dispatch, steam extraction, absorption cooling and grid exchange hourly for a 200 MW$_\mathrm{e}$ data center in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) region, across 109 runs spanning capital, market, policy, financing and cooling efficiency. At 2023 mid-range reactor capital, the nuclear configurations cost 49-62% more than grid supply even with the Section 45Y production tax credit. The viable region opens near \$5,000 kW$_\mathrm{e}^{-1}$, and nth-of-a-kind capital makes them 77-89% cheaper in 2023, though between parity and 34% more expensive in the low-price 2024 market. A carbon price of \$53-64 tCO$_2^{-1}$ closes the mid-range gap under hourly export crediting. Absorption cooling is dispatched in response to hourly electricity prices and supplies 38% of annual cooling, at an added cost of \$9.2 million yr$^{-1}$ relative to the reactor-only plant; that gap closes at an installed absorption cost of \$60 kW$_\mathrm{c}^{-1}$ at baseline efficiency and \$570 kW$_\mathrm{c}^{-1}$ on a legacy-efficiency campus, against surveyed commercial prices of \$450-1,200 kW$_\mathrm{c}^{-1}$. Together these results delineate the capital, market and policy conditions under which colocated reactor cogeneration is competitive with grid procurement, and the range over which each condition moves the outcome.