Scale Determines Whether Language Models Organize Representation Geometry for Prediction

Abstract

In language models, what a representation encodes is determined by the geometry of its representation space: distances, not activations, carry meaning. Existing tools characterize the shape of this geometry but do not ask what that shape is organized for. We introduce Subspace PGA, a metric that tests whether a layer's distance structure aligns with the readout subspace of the unembedding matrix $W_U$ more than with random subspaces of equal size. Across seven Pythia models (70M--6.9B) and three cross-family models, intermediate geometry is significantly organized for prediction (peak $z = 9$--$24$), but the degree is scale-dependent: small models ($d \leq 1024$) progressively lose it at late layers during training -- even as loss keeps improving -- while large models ($d \geq 2048$) preserve it throughout. We trace this to a capacity trade-off: a few dominant directions migrate away from $W_U$'s readout, masking rather than destroying the predictive structure beneath, and removing them restores alignment. Neither spectral metrics nor loss curves capture this distinction. Scale thus determines not only how well a model predicts, but how its representation geometry is organized to do so.