PhyMamba: Physics-Modulated Mamba for Robust Battery Health Prognostics

Abstract

Battery health prognostics is a core function in battery management systems (BMSs), yet long-horizon health forecasting from BMS signals remains challenging due to operating-condition dependency and sensor noise. In this paper, we propose PhyMamba, a two-stage physics-modulated Mamba framework that integrates electrochemical aging into sequence modelling. PhyMamba does not require explicit identification of internal aging parameters, which often relies on intrusive measurements. In stage-1, a lightweight Mamba encoder first processes BMS signals and produces a latent representation that is transformed via an aging parameterization module, into physics-informed aging features. In stage-2, a customized Mamba forecasting backbone performs multi-cycle prediction, where physics is tightly integrated to regulate the model's internal temporal updates toward degradation-consistent evolution. Experiments on three public datasets under multiple forecast horizons show that PhyMamba achieves the best aggregated performance, with an overall mean error reduction of 31.8% compared with a diverse range of baselines. PhyMamba also offers an optimized accuracy-efficiency trade-off, which supports practical deployment for robust battery health prognostics.