Effort-Based Criticality Metrics for Evaluating 3D Perception Errors in Autonomous Driving

Abstract

Criticality metrics such as time-to-collision (TTC) quantify collision urgency but do not distinguish the operational consequences of false-positive (FP) and false-negative (FN) perception errors. We formulate two error-specific effort metrics: False Speed Reduction (FSR), the cumulative velocity loss associated with persistent phantom detections, and Maximum Deceleration Rate (MDR), the peak braking demand associated with missed objects under a longitudinal kinematic model. These longitudinal metrics are complemented by Lateral Evasion Acceleration (LEA), adapted from prior lateral-evasion kinematics and coupled with reachability-based collision timing. The collision check quantifies the minimum steering effort required to avoid a predicted collision. A dynamically conservative, semantically unfiltered reachability gate selects candidate interactions before frame-level scoring and track-level aggregation. Evaluation on nuScenes and Argoverse 2 shows that 65% to 93% of errors fall below the chosen criticality thresholds. Correlation and threshold analysis indicate that the proposed metrics provide complementary rankings for screening and mining perception failures and are not substitutes for closed-loop safety validation.